Numerous polls show that among black and Hispanic voters, support for former President Donald Trump continues to grow despite four sets of criminal indictments being pursued by prosecutors.
Among five separate recent polls, Trump is averaging 20 percent support from black voters and 42 percent among Hispanic voters. If these numbers hold up through Election Day, Trump will be the Republican candidate who received the highest amount of non-white support in the last 50 years.
“Either former president Donald Trump’s standing in early 2024 polls is inflated, or we are headed for a sizable realignment in how non-White voters cast their ballots,” wrote Aaron Blake, who analyzed the latest figures for the Washington Post.
But, the recent numbers may not simply be about Trump and his particular appeal to black voters, or widespread support over his indictments. According to a recent Fox News poll, seven Republican 2024 presidential candidates are near 20 percent against President Joe Biden.
Assuming Trump will be the GOP presidential nominee, it remains unclear what these figures will translate to on Election Day. Numerous polls overstated his support prior to the 2020 election — Rasmussen, for example, said Trump had 46 percent black support less than two weeks before the election.
Exit polling showed Trump had garnered around 12 percent of the black vote. But, later analysis showed that he received about 8 percent support, on par with other Republicans in past elections.
Numerous black artists have voiced support for Trump recently, including Lil Pump, Kodak Black, and Chief Keef, who spoke positively of the former president or posted mugshots of themselves next to his. Chicago rapper Bandman Keto, who previously tattooed “White Lives Matter” and Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg on his leg, added a tattoo of Trump’s mugshot photo.
Earlier in the year, alarm bells went off within the Democratic Party establishment over the peeling away of support for Biden among black voters, a trend that began in 2022 after Biden’s approval rating among blacks fell more than 10 points.